Peter Thiel: robot first to replace workers, middle class of one hundred

note: hunting cloud about robots in the future development, there are a lot of controversy. Peter Thiel investment community of celebrities published his views, think robots will replace factory workers in the first post, but America’s middle class work is not threatened by the robot of artificial intelligence.

the following content from tencent technology:

on February 12, the valley famous vc, payment service, PayPal founder, social network Facebook investor Peter tal (Peter Thiel) has rejected machines are poses a great threat to American workers. Thayer says, for decades, with artificial intelligence support robot can replace workers in the factory jobs. But in at least 100 years, the robot will have serious threat on the middle class work.

thayer wutong in the annual conference (Buttonwood Gathering) said: “America’s middle class work is not threatened by the robot of artificial intelligence. It’s like science fiction, perhaps to happen in 100 years later, maybe never happen.” Thayer says, middle-class jobs threatened by globalization more than technology. He said: “I’m not against globalization, but we should be aware that it is actively put pressure on the middle. Technology only become the “scapegoat”.

the Boston consulting Group (Boston Consult Group) new research announced this week that in the coming decades, will further reduce the cost of industrial robot, manufacturers will use industrial robots instead of factory workers. Robots are now about to undertake the manufacture of automatic machines 10%, and by 2025, this proportion will increase to 25%. Research, according to the increase of the robot will lead to the global Labour costs fell by 16%.

the Boston consulting group senior partner at Hal Sirkin (Hal Sirkin), said the shift means being able to operate the machine’s technical workers increased demand. Factory workers compensation will be higher, but fewer people will be needed.

of the Boston consulting group study also found that the use of robots are at a critical turning point: when buying and operating a system costs for humans only 85%, companies will tend to use robots to replace workers. , for instance, may be more of the U.S. auto industry with robot, a spot welding cost $8 an hour, artificial cost $25. Sirkin said, repeatable specific task robot costs is to use only 1/10 of the human.

save costs are usually introduced to a robot manufacturing system one of the most important reason, from now to 2025, spot welding mechanic demand will fall by 22%. In the next 10 years, three-quarters of the robot will mainly focus on four areas: transportation equipment (including automotive), computer and electronic products, electronic equipment and machinery, etc. By 2025, the robots can assume these industries in the 30% to 40% of automation tasks.

but in food production, such as plastic, metal, wood production industry, the adoption rate of robots increase slowly, because much of the work of the industry is difficult to achieve automation, and low wages. But as technology advances, the robot in the industry will occupy more space. Sirkin said: “no matter whether now is the best time to invest in the next generation of robots, to prepare for all the manufacturers should start. They need to understand how to change between cost and automatic technology, and what their competitors are doing.”

London university students of science and technology research, researcher Maggie, cork (Maggie Aderin – Pocock) had predicted that in the next 50 years, responsible for take care of the elderly and the children will begin to be replaced by artificial intelligence. Wave of cork, according to a study by a large number of service industry and the nursing human workers will be replaced by robots in our lifetime. She also thinks the rapid progress of science and technology trend in this century, will continue at an alarming rate, this will allow the robot to break the science fiction, build yourself in our daily life.